
Copyright © Chris Riddell.
The above cartoon by Chris Riddell from Sunday’s issue of The Observer was picked out by Flesh is Grass. She writes,
Abandoning Afghans doesn’t mean ‘peace’, and points to a post at Harry’s Place,
Abandoning Afghans: Not in my name.
She also mentions watching for what I have to say.
The short of it: I agree. Some fighting is necessary. Failure is not an acceptable option. A more terrible war awaits if this one ends badly.
The last couple of Afghanistan posts here have been links to rather long videos of discussions on how to work towards
political progress and
reconciliation. I’ve been doing more listening than writing on this, partly because of work pressure, but also because the complexities are such that it seems more interesting to point to people with direct knowledge.
That said, it should still possible to form a view on basic principles despite not having personally grown a beard and walked the length of Afghanistan drinking tea with the tribes.
There is an old chestnut that never goes away about there being no military solution in a conflict like this, only a political one. And it’s half true.
The problem is with the other half, the half made up of an enemy which believes very much in a military solution, or a terror solution. Before anyone can negotiate with them, this enemy has to actually recognise that there is no military solution available to them, and to reach that point they will have to be fought. Fighting them isn’t the solution in itself, but it’s a necessary part of creating the conditions for a political solution, or as may be more likely, the multiple political solutions necessary in a conflict this complex.
There are many things that can go wrong, but the worst would be for leaders of the
42 countries contributing to ISAF in Afghanistan to lose heart. Some of those leaders are of course more vital than others. Many are facing a hostile press and a doubtful public. The response by UK and US leaders has been to emphasise the terrorist threat. But as
Steve Coll of The New Yorker spells out, a repeat of past terrorism isn’t the half of what we may face if we fail.
Now more links:
And finally
The Canada-Afghanistan Blog on Malalai Joya, and Ghosts of Alexander on
Biden Plan in inaction in Nuristan. Speaking of which, may I suggest the Biden Plan be renamed the Gaza Plan for Afghanistan? Y’know, abandon the ground and the population to the enemy and then try to contain them with air strikes and hit and run operations. No fence though, so no tunnels. And a much bigger territory. Oh boy.